Wednesday, November 19, 2008

India to play major international role by 2025

India will have a greater international role around 2025 when the world is predicted to be multipolar with America's economic and military dominance fading.

India's population will also overtake that of China around the same time, a draft copy of the National Intelligence Council (NIC) report 'Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World', published by 'The Washington Times' said on Wednesday.

The report says India, China and Russia alongwith Indonesia, Turkey and a post-clerically-run Iran, which are predominantly Islamic but which fall outside the Arab core, appear well-suited for growing international roles.

On the demographic front, the report, according to the paper, cites recent projections that the world's population will grow by about 1.2 billion between 2009 and 2025 - from 6.8 billion to about 8 billion people. It says that India's population will 'overtake China's around 2025.'

"The United States will remain the single most powerful country, although less dominant. Shrinking economic and military capabilities may force the US into a difficult set of tradeoffs between domestic and foreign-policy priorities," the report will be saying.

"The next 20 years of transition toward a new international system are fraught with risks, such as a nuclear arms race in the Middle East and possible interstate conflicts over resources," the NIC report says.

Terrorism, however, is 'unlikely to disappear by 2025', according to the NIC report.

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